Date announced 18/11/2010
Quarter 30/09/2010 Qtr 3 FYE 31/12/2010
STOCK TSH C0DE 9059
Price $ 2.6 Curr. ttm-PE 16.84 Curr. DY 1.92%
LFY Div 5.00 DPO ratio 28%
ROE 8.7% PBT Margin 12.7% PAT Margin 8.5%
Rec. qRev 214265 q-q % chg 3% y-y% chq 5%
Rec qPbt 27131 q-q % chg 53% y-y% chq 1%
Rec. qEps 4.45 q-q % chg 61% y-y% chq -22%
ttm-Eps 15.44 q-q % chg -8% y-y% chq 83%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 10.00 Avg. L PE 8.00
Forecast High Pr 1.97 Forecast Low Pr 1.73 Recent Severe Low Pr 1.73
Current price is at Upper 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside -262% Downside 362%
One Year Appreciation Potential -5% Avg. yield 2%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) -3%
CPE/SPE 1.87 P/NTA 1.46 NTA 1.78 SPE 9.00 Rational Pr 1.39
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy, Hold, Sell, Filed; Review (future acq): Filed; Discard: Filed.
Guide: Valuation zones - Lower 1/3 Buy; Mid. 1/3 Maybe; Upper 1/3 Sell.
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
Gruesome Company
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