Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
Wednesday 17 November 2010
Mamee-Double Decker (M) Berhad
Date announced 23/08/2010
Quarter 30/06/2010 Qtr 2 FYE 31/12/2010
STOCK Mamee C0DE 5282
Price $ 3.53 Curr. ttm-PE 9.92 Curr. DY 2.99%
LFY Div 10.56 DPO ratio 30%
ROE 21.8% PBT Margin 11.0% PAT Margin 8.8%
Rec. qRev 120198 q-q % chg 4% y-y% chq 17%
Rec qPbt 13229 q-q % chg -17% y-y% chq -1%
Rec. qEps 7.24 q-q % chg -12% y-y% chq -1%
ttm-Eps 35.59 q-q % chg 0% y-y% chq 39%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 8.00 Avg. L PE 6.00
Forecast High Pr 3.63 Forecast Low Pr 2.01 Recent Severe Low Pr 2.01
Current price is at Upper 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 6% Downside 94%
One Year Appreciation Potential 1% Avg. yield 4%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 5%
CPE/SPE 1.42 P/NTA 2.17 NTA 1.63 SPE 7.00 Rational Pr 2.49
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy, Hold, Sell, Filed; Review (future acq): Filed; Discard: Filed.
Guide: Valuation zones - Lower 1/3 Buy; Mid. 1/3 Maybe; Upper 1/3 Sell.
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
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