Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
Wednesday 24 November 2010
Ajinomoto
Date announced 23/11/2020
Quarter 30/09/2010 Qtr 2 FYE 31/03/2011
STOCK Ajinomoto C0DE 2658
Price $ 4.22 Curr. ttm-PE 10.26 Curr. DY 4.27%
LFY Div 18.00 DPO ratio 46%
ROE 12.0% PBT Margin 9.2% PAT Margin 6.9%
Rec. qRev 77686 q-q % chg -5% y-y% chq 13%
Rec qPbt 7129 q-q % chg -38% y-y% chq -6%
Rec. qEps 8.85 q-q % chg -38% y-y% chq -10%
ttm-Eps 41.15 q-q % chg -2% y-y% chq 23%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 10.00 Avg. L PE 6.00
Forecast High Pr 5.25 Forecast Low Pr 3.29 Recent Severe Low Pr 3.29
Current price is at Middle 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 53% Downside 47%
One Year Appreciation Potential 5% Avg. yield 6%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 11%
CPE/SPE 1.28 P/NTA 1.23 NTA 3.43 SPE 8.00 Rational Pr 3.29
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy, Hold, Sell, Filed; Review (future acq): Filed; Discard: Filed.
Guide: Valuation zones - Lower 1/3 Buy; Mid. 1/3 Maybe; Upper 1/3 Sell.
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
Stock Data:
Current Price (11/19/2010): 4.26
(Figures in Malaysian Ringgits)
Recent Stock Performance:
1 Week -2.7% 13 Weeks 5.2%
4 Weeks 2.9% 52 Weeks 31.9%
Ajinomoto (Malaysia) Berhad Key Data:
Ticker: AJI Country: MALAYSIA
Exchanges: AMN Major Industry: Food & Beverages
Sub Industry: Miscellaneous Food
2010 Sales 284,616,880
(Year Ending Jan 2011).
Employees: 380
Currency: Malaysian Ringgits Market Cap: 259,003,740
Fiscal Yr Ends: March Shares Outstanding: 60,799,000
Share Type: Ordinary Closely Held Shares: 34,430,813
Day's Range: 4.22 - 4.30
52wk Range: 3.18 - 4.97
Volume: 76,400
Avg Vol (3m): 63,365
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