Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
Monday 29 November 2010
Boustead Holdings Berhad
Date announced 29/11/2010
Quarter 30/09/2010 Qtr 3 FYE 31/12/2010
STOCK BSTEAD C0DE 2771
Price $ 5.25 Curr. PE (ttm-Eps) 10.21 Curr. DY 2.79%
LFY Div 14.64 DPO ratio 36%
ROE 11.8% PBT Margin 10.2% PAT Margin 6.1%
Rec. qRev 1513900 q-q % chg 6% y-y% chq 7%
Rec qPbt 153700 q-q % chg -17% y-y% chq 22%
Rec. qEps 9.77 q-q % chg -38% y-y% chq -21%
ttm-Eps 51.40 q-q % chg -5% y-y% chq 41%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 9.00 Avg. L PE 6.00
Forecast High Pr 5.90 Forecast Low Pr 3.39 Recent Severe Low Pr 3.39
Current price is at Upper 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 26% Downside 74%
One Year Appreciation Potential 2% Avg. yield 5%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 7%
CPE/SPE 1.36 P/NTA 1.21 NTA 4.35 SPE 7.50 Rational Pr 3.86
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy Hold Sell Filed Review (future acq): Filed Discard: Filed
Guide: Valuation zones Lower 1/3 Buy Mid. 1/3 Maybe Upper 1/3 Sell
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
Stock Data: Recent Stock Performance:
Current Price (11/19/2010): 5.53
(Figures in Malaysian Ringgits)
1 Week -1.1% 13 Weeks -2.3%
4 Weeks 26.5% 52 Weeks 62.6%
Boustead Holdings Berhad Key Data:
Ticker: BOUS Country: MALAYSIA
Exchanges: KUL Major Industry: Diversified
Sub Industry: General Diversified
2009 Sales 5,392,000,000
(Year Ending Jan 2010).
Employees: 8,022
Currency: Malaysian Ringgits Market Cap: 5,199,095,860
Fiscal Yr Ends: December Shares Outstanding: 940,162,000
Share Type: Ordinary Closely Held Shares: 568,935,789
Day's Range: 5.20 - 5.28
52wk Range: 3.26 - 6.05
Volume: 878,800
Avg Vol (3m): 1,043,570
Note: Boustead declared interim dividends for each quarter of this financial year.
Q1 2010 5 sen
Q2 2010 10 sen
Q3 2010 12 sen
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