Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
Monday 29 November 2010
Padini
Date announced 29/11/2010
Quarter 30/09/2010 Qtr 1 FYE 30/06/2011
STOCK PADINI C0DE 7052
Price $ 4.98 Curr. ttm-PE 11.12 Curr. DY 4.52%
LFY Div 22.50 DPO ratio 49%
ROE 23.3% PBT Margin 18.8% PAT Margin 13.4%
Rec. qRev 136641 q-q % chg 19% y-y% chq -3%
Rec qPbt 25651 q-q % chg 38% y-y% chq -5%
Rec. qEps 13.95 q-q % chg 56% y-y% chq -9%
ttm-Eps 44.79 q-q % chg -3% y-y% chq 64%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 9.00 Avg. L PE 7.00
Forecast High Pr 5.14 Forecast Low Pr 3.73 Recent Severe Low Pr 3.73
Current price is at Upper 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 12% Downside 88%
One Year Appreciation Potential 1% Avg. yield 6%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 6%
CPE/SPE 1.39 P/NTA 2.59 NTA 1.92 SPE 8.00 Rational Pr 3.58
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy, Hold, Sell, Filed; Review (future acq): Filed; Discard: Filed.
Guide: Valuation zones - Lower 1/3 Buy; Mid. 1/3 Maybe; Upper 1/3 Sell.
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
Stock Data: Recent Stock Performance:
Current Price (11/19/2010): 5.32
(Figures in Malaysian Ringgits)
1 Week -1.1% 13 Weeks 11.3%
4 Weeks 31.7% 52 Weeks 72.7%
Padini Holdings Berhad Key Data:
Ticker: PADINI Country: MALAYSIA
Exchanges: KUL Major Industry: Apparel & Textiles
Sub Industry: Apparel Manufacturers
2010 Sales 520,880,000
(Year Ending Jan 2011).
Employees: 1,762
Currency: Malaysian Ringgits Market Cap: 700,016,240
Fiscal Yr Ends: June Shares Outstanding: 131,582,000
Share Type: Ordinary Closely Held Shares: 59,124,294
Day's Range: 4.97 - 5.00
52wk Range: 3.03 - 5.52
Volume: 6,000
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