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Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.

Tuesday, 30 November 2010

Integrax sees LMT tagged at ‘no less than RM250m’

Integrax sees LMT tagged at ‘no less than RM250m’
Tags: Integrax Bhd | LMT

Written by Joy Lee
Tuesday, 30 November 2010 15:10

KUALA LUMPUR: Port operator Integrax Bhd may consider selling its stake in Lumut Maritime Terminal Sdn Bhd (LMT) for a price tag of no less than RM125 million.

LMT has a port facility and cash of about RM50 million as at June 2010. Additionally, LMT has an exclusive concession zone of a 30km radius around the terminal, which expires in 2015 with land available for sale.

“I think [the value of LMT] would be in excess of a quarter billion (RM250 million),” Harun Halim Rasip, joint chief executive of Integrax, said at a press briefing yesterday.

Currently, Integrax has a 50% minus one share in LMT while Perak Corp, via its unit Taipan Merit Sdn Bhd, has a 50% plus one share in LMT.

LMT has an exclusive contract to manage the deepwater port Lekir Bulk Terminal (LBT), in which Integrax has an 80% equity, till 2017. Malakoff Corp Bhd holds the remaining 20% of LBT.

There is a feud between Harun and his brother Amin Halim Rasip, who is also co-chief executive and executive director of Integrax. The duo hold a collective stake of 37.8% in Integrax via private vehicles.

Yesterday Amin took the stage before a press briefing called for by Harun.

The brothers do not see eye to eye on the plans ahead for Integrax, including the deal to provide transshipment services for Brazilian mining giant Vale, the world’s largest iron ore producer, for a 10-year tenure while Vale built its own facility.

While Amin is for the Vale deal, Harun and other board members, are opposed the deal as the cost of setting up the facility for Vale would be in the region of RM280 million.

Harun’s objection was due to the capital investment that Integrax would have to incur with no certainty of the port being utilised after the 10-year tenure. The board said it would be difficult to rope in new clients of Vale’s size. “The financial risks that were worked out against the permutation on capital cost yielded a return that was too low. The deal did not make sense,” Harun said.

At this, Amin, who has the backing of the state, interjected: “Data will be provided to you to show that this is totally incorrect. It does not accord to reality.”

Integrax and the Perak government have been at loggerheads since the former turned down the Vale offer. The Perak government and Amin said the Vale deal would benefit the state including a commitment by Vale to build a RM3 billion iron ore pellet distribution centre.

LMT is currently the object of a tussle between Taipan Merit and Integrax after Perak Corp terminated a shareholders’ agreement with Integrax for the operations of LMT. Integrax said earlier it had opted to exercise its option to acquire all of Taipan Merit’s shares in LMT.

Perak Corp is unlikely to give up LMT as it is the state’s main revenue generator. For the nine months ended September, Perak Corp posted a net profit of RM13.33 million on revenue of RM74.81 million. Its infrastructure arm accounted for almost RM64 million of Perak Corp’s revenue.

Nonetheless, should Taipan Merit be able to gain full control of LMT, LBT may opt to terminate the operations and maintenance agreement with LMT given the ongoing scuffle at Integrax’s level.

Perak Corp has an 8.29% interest in Integrax via Kuda Sejati.

Yesterday Perak Corp announced that it bought 20 million shares or a 6.67% stake in Intergrax for RM30 million, confirming an earlier report by The Edge Financial Daily. The acquisition is seen as a move by Perak Corp to strengthen its position in Integrax.

Last week, another block of 5.6 million shares, or 1.87% stake, was traded off-market. The block is believed to have been mopped up by KYM Holdings Bhd, which had sold 756 acres of land to Vale for RM93.76 million.

With KYM entering the fray, it will be interesting to see how the struggle for control at Integrax ends. Given that the only logical way for the tussle to end is for one party to exit, but it may be a long while before the dust settles.

The boardroom tussle has sent Integrax shares surging 107.7% year-to-date to RM1.60 yesterday. The stock’s net assets per share were RM1.79 as at Sept 30.

At that price, the company has a market capitalisation of RM481.3 million.

This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, November 30, 2010.

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My 18 points guide to Successfully compounding your money in Stocks

Be a good stock picker.
Think as a business owner.
Always look at value rather than the price. Do the homework.
Buy and hold is alright for selected stocks.
Compounding is your friend, get this to work its magic.
Mr. Market is there to be taken advantage of. Do not be the sucker instead. BFS;STS.
Always buy a lot when the price is low.
Never buy when the stock is overpriced.
It is alright to buy when the selected stock is at a fair price.
Phasing in or dollar cost averaging is safe for such stocks during a downtrend, unless the price is still obviously too high.
Do not time the market for such or any stocks.
By keeping to the above strategy, the returns will be delivered through the growth of the company's business.
So, when do you sell the stock? Almost never, as long as the fundamentals remain sound and the future prospects intact.
The downside risk is protected through only buying when the price is low or fairly priced.
Tactical dynamic asset allocation or rebalancing based on valuation can be employed but this sounds easier than is practical, except in extreme market situations.
Sell urgently when the company business fundamental has deteriorated irreversibly.
You may also wish to sell should the growth of the company has obviously slowed and you can reinvest into another company with greater growth potential of similar quality. However, unlike point 16, you can do so leisurely.
In conclusion, a critical key to successful investing is in your stock picking ability.

http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2012/07/my-18-points-guide-to-successfully.html

11 Lessons From Peter Lynch

Peter Lynch taught me:

1. Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.
2. Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
3. Over the short term, there may be no correlation between the success of a company’s operations and the success of its stock. Over the long term, there’s a 100% correlation.
4. Buying stocks without studying the companies is the same as playing poker – and never looking at your cards.
5. Time is on your side when you own shares of superior companies.
6. Owning stock is like having children. Don’t get involved with more than you can handle.
7. When the insiders are buying, it’s a good sign.
8. Unless you’re a short seller, it never pays to be pessimistic.
9. A stock market decline is as predictable as a January blizzard in Colorado. If you’re prepared, it can’t hurt you.
10. Everyone has the brainpower to make money in stocks. Not everyone has the stomach.
11. Nobody can predict interest rates, the future direction of the economy, or the stock market. Dismiss all such forecasts and concentrate on what’s actually happening to the companies in which you’ve invested.

Lynch’s advice had a profound effect on my stock market approach. He taught me that investment success isn’t the result of developing the right macro-economic view or deciding when to jump in or out of the market. Success is about researching companies to identify those that are likely to report positive surprises.

Capital Expenditure

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 25%. Less is better.

Capital Expenditures are expenses on:
- fixed assets such as equipment, property, or industrial buildings
- fixing problems with an asset
- preparing an asset to be used in business
- restoring property
- starting new businesses

A good company will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 50%.

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of less than 25%.

Less is better.

Benjamin Graham's 113 Wise Words

The true investor scarcely ever is forced to sell his shares, and at all times he is free to disregard the current price quotation. He need pay attention to it and act upon it only to the extent that it suits his book, and no more. Thus the investor who permits himself to be stampeded or unduly worried by unjustified market declines in his holdings is perversely transforming his basic advantage into a basic disadvantage. That man would be better off if his stocks had no market quotation at all, for he would then be spared the mental anguish caused him by other persons' mistakes of judgement."

Philip Fisher's Wise Words

"The refusal to sell at a loss, while completely natural and normal, is probably one of the most dangerous in which we can indulge ourselves in the entire investment process.

More money has probably been lost by investors holding a stock they really did not want until they could 'at least come out even' than from any other single reason. If to these actual losses are added the profits that might have been made through the proper reinvestment of these funds if such reinvestment had been made when the mistake was first realized, the cost of self-indulgence becomes truly tremendous."

(Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits)

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Here is the overriding primary test, followed by observations on why it is so critically important:

Knowing all that you now know and expect about the company and its stock (not what you originally believed or hoped at time of purchase), and assuming that you had available capital, and assuming that it would not cause a portfolio imbalance to do so, would you buy this stock today, at today's price?

No equivocation. Yes or no?

Answers such as maybe or probably are not acceptable since they are ways of dodging the issue. No investor probably buys a stock; they either place an order or do not.

Here is the implication of your answer to that critical test: if you did not answer with a clear affirmative, you should sell; only if you said a strong yes, are you justified to hold.

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Ideally a stock you plan to purchase should have all of the following charateristics:

• A rising trend of earnings dividends and book value per share.
• A balance sheet with less debt than other companies in its particular industry.
• A P/E ratio no higher than average.
• A dividend yield that suits your particular needs.
• A below-average dividend pay-out ratio.
• A history of earnings and dividends not pockmarked by erratic ups and downs.
• Companies whose ROE is 15 or better.
• A ratio of price to cash flow (P/CF) that is not too high when compared to other stocks in the same industry.

Margin of Safety Concept: Stocks should be bought like groceries, not like perfume

The high CAGR in the early years of the investing period, due to buying at a discount, tended to decline and approach that of the intrinsic EPS GR of the companies over a longer investment time-frame.

Chapter 20 - “Margin of Safety” as the Central Concept of Investment

A single quote by Graham on page 516 struck me:

Observation over many years has taught us that the chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of favorable business conditions.

Basically, Graham is saying that most stock investors lose money because they invest in companies that seem good at a particular point in time, but are lacking the fundamentals of a long-lasting stable company.

This seems obvious on the surface, but it’s actually a great argument for thinking more carefully about your individual stock investments. If most of your losses come from buying companies that seem healthy but really aren’t, isn’t that a profound argument for carefully studying any company you might invest in?

myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Tuesday, 30 November 2010

Integrax sees LMT tagged at ‘no less than RM250m’

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All equity security investments present a risk of loss of capital

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Benjamin Graham

Sell the losers, let the winners run.

Investment Style

Warren Buffett

Political and Economic News

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