Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
Sunday 14 November 2010
Genting Berhad
Date announced 26/08/2010
Quarter 30/06/2010 Qtr 2
FYE 31/12/2010
STOCK GENTING
C0DE 3182
Price $ 10.16 Curr. ttm-PE 23.64 Curr. DY 0.71%
LFY Div 7.20 DPO ratio 25%
ROE 11.5% PBT Margin 39.0% PAT Margin 18.1%
Rec. qRev 4085070 q-q % chg 31% y-y% chq 94%
Rec qPbt 1593130 q-q % chg 696% y-y% chq 179%
Rec. qEps 20.00 q-q % chg 218% y-y% chq 245%
ttm-Eps 42.98 q-q % chg 49% y-y% chq 496%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 17.00 Avg. L PE 15.00
Forecast High Pr 9.33 Forecast Low Pr 6.89 Recent Severe Low Pr 6.89
Current price is at Upper 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside -34% Downside 134%
One Year Appreciation Potential -2% Avg. yield 1%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 0%
CPE/SPE 1.48 P/NTA 2.71 NTA 3.75 SPE 16.00 Rational Pr 6.88
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy Hold Sell Filed Review (future acq): Filed Discard: Filed
Guide: Valuation zones Lower 1/3 Buy Mid. 1/3 Maybe Upper 1/3 Sell
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
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