myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.

Sunday 27 November 2011

Coastal Contracts Berhad

Company Name	:	COASTAL CONTRACTS BHD
Stock Name	:	COASTAL
Date Announced	:	24/11/2011

Financial Year End	:	31/12/2011
Quarter	:	3
Quarterly report for the financial period ended	:	30/09/2011
The figures	:	have not been audited

Converted attachment :

Please attach the full Quarterly Report here:

Coastal 3rd Quarter 2011.pdf

Remark:


Currency	:	Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30/09/2011

		INDIVIDUAL PERIOD		CUMULATIVE PERIOD
		CURRENT YEAR QUARTER	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING QUARTER	CURRENT YEAR TO DATE	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING PERIOD
		30/09/2011	30/09/2010	30/09/2011	30/09/2010
		$$'000	$$'000	$$'000	$$'000
1	Revenue	110,211	192,091	499,890	471,852
2	Profit/(loss) before tax	36,560	53,601	139,508	145,205
3	Profit/(loss) for the period	36,657	53,634	139,360	145,215
4	Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent	36,657	53,634	139,360	145,215
5	Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)	7.59	11.10	28.84	30.05
6	Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)	4.20	0.00	9.70	5.00

		AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER		AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7	Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)	1.4917		1.6627

Remarks :

Basic earnings per share for individual quarter for preceding year corresponding quarter of 11.10 sen and cumulative quarter for preceding year corresponding period of 30.05 sen have been restated for the effects of 1:3 bonus issue on 18 July 2011.

9 Months ended 30.09.2011

Income Statement

Revenue 499.890m
Gross profit 139.847m
PBT 139.508m
PAT 139.360M

EPS
Basic 28.84 sen
Diluted N/A

Finance costs (0.484m)
Income Tax expense (0.148m)

Bonus issue:
1:3 bonus issue on 18 July 2011.

Balance Sheet

ASSETS
NCL 100.970m
CA 1,015.196m
TOTAL ASSETS 1,116.166m

EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Total equity 720.911m
NCL 17.138m
CL 378.117m
TOTAL LIABILITIES 395.255m
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 1,116.166m

Net assets per share RM 1.4917

Inventories 743.153m
Trade receivables 15.712m
Other receivables 59.045m
Trade payables 4.207m
Other payables 369.819m

Cash and bank balances 196.749m
LT Borrowings 12.251m
ST Borrowings 4.070m

Dividends
30.9.2011 (20.296M)
30.9.2010 ( 99.424M)

Cash flow statement

Net cash generated from operating activities 103.427m
Net cash generated from investing activities 13.208m
Net cash used in financing activities (74.919m)

Weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue 483.266m.

For diluted earnings per share calculations, the weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue is adjusted to assume that the maximum number of new ordinary shares have been issued pursuant to the share options granted under the warrants ("Warrants"). The dilutive portion of the ordinary shares deemed issued pursuant to the /Warrants are accounted for in the diluted earnings per share calculation. The Warrant has a dilutive effect only when the average price of ordinary shares of the Company during the period exceeds the exercise price of the options granted. As the average market price of ordinary shares during the period (RM 2.78) is lower than the exercise price of the options (RM 3.18), the options were not assumed to be exercised because they were anti-dilutive in the period.

Market Watch

Recent Financial Results

Announcement Date	Financial Yr. End	Qtr	Period End	Revenue RM '000	Profit/Lost RM'000	EPS	Amended
24-Nov-11	31-Dec-11	3	30-Sep-11	110,211	36,657	7.59	-
23-Aug-11	31-Dec-11	2	30-Jun-11	233,849	46,611	9.651#	-
27-May-11	31-Dec-11	1	31-Mar-11	155,830	56,092	11.614#	-
23-Feb-11	31-Dec-10	4	31-Dec-10	203,403	55,663	11.525#	-

# Adjusted Bonus issue: 1:3 bonus issue on 18 July 2011.
ttm-EPS 40.38 sen
Price RM 1.85
Trailing PE 4.6x

Share Price Performance

	High		Low
Prices 1 Month	2.040	(15-Nov-11)	1.770	(10-Nov-11)
Prices 3 Months	2.130	(07-Sep-11)	1.620	(26-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months	3.820	(25-Apr-11)	1.620	(26-Sep-11)
Volume 12 Months	65,994	(05-Apr-11)	330	(01-Dec-10)

Stock Performance Chart for Coastal Contracts Bhd

23.11.2011

Price RM 1.950

PE 4.14x

DY 3.21%

Market Capitalisation 942.4m
ROE 27%

Petronas Dagangan

Company Name	:	PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD
Stock Name	:	PETDAG
Date Announced	:	23/11/2011

Financial Year End	:	31/12/2011
Quarter	:	Other
Quarterly report for the financial period ended	:	30/09/2011
The figures	:	have not been audited

Converted attachment :

Please attach the full Quarterly Report here:

Remark:

The Company had on 02 March 2011 announced the change of financial year end from 31 March to 31 December beginning from April 2011. As a result, there is no equivalent comparative quarters. Therefore, the Company attaches the financial information of the relevant financial period for reference purposes.


Currency	:	Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30/09/2011

		INDIVIDUAL PERIOD		CUMULATIVE PERIOD
		Three Mths	Three Mths	Six Mths	Six Mths
		01/07/2011	01/07/2010	01/04/2011	01/04/2010
		To 30/09/2011	To 30/09/2010	To 30/09/2011	To 30/09/2010
		$$'000	$$'000	$$'000	$$'000
1	Revenue	7,304,943		14,844,870
2	Profit/(loss) before tax	300,393		591,200
3	Profit/(loss) for the period	225,728		436,237
4	Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent	224,046		432,772
5	Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)	22.60		43.60
6	Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)	15.00		30.00

		AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER		AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7	Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)	4.7000		4.8300

Remarks :

31.09.2011

Income Statement

Revenue 14,844.870m
Profit from operations 594.267m
PBT 591.200m
PAT 436.237m

Profit attributable to
Shareholders of the Company 432.772m

EPS
Basic 43.6 sen

Finance costs (3.427m)
Tax expense (154.963m)

Balance Sheet

ASSETS
NCA 3,939.286m
CA 4,868.241m
TOTAL ASSETS 8,807.526m

TOTAL EQUITY 4,708.014m
NCL 229.950m
CL 3,854.558m
TOTAL LIABILITIES 4,099.513m
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 8,807.527m

Net Assets per Share RM 4.70

Inventories 910.454m
Trade and Other Receivables 3,293.649m
Trade and Other Payables 3,328.951m

Cash and Cash Equivalents 664.464m
LT Borrowings 59.345m
ST Borrowings 400.000m

Dividends paid

30.9.2011 (558.817m)
30.9.2010 (335.291m)

Cash flow statement

Net cash generated from operating activities (85.774m)
Net cash used in investing activities (159.562m)
Net cash generated from financing activities (116.409m)

Number of ordinary shares in issue 993.454m

Market Watch

Recent Financial Results

Announcement Date	Financial Yr. End	Qtr	Period End	Revenue RM '000	Profit/Lost RM'000	EPS	Amended
23-Nov-11	31-Dec-11	Other	30-Sep-11	7,304,943	225,728	22.60	-
10-Aug-11	31-Dec-11	Other	30-Jun-11	7,539,927	210,511	21.00	-
26-May-11	31-Mar-11	4	31-Mar-11	6,382,665	229,773	23.00	-
16-Feb-11	31-Mar-11	3	31-Dec-10	5,932.199	237.611	23.80	-

ttm-EPS 90.4 sen
Price RM 16.42
PE 18.2x

Share Price Performance

	High		Low
Prices 1 Month	16.520	(25-Nov-11)	15.760	(03-Nov-11)
Prices 3 Months	18.400	(02-Sep-11)	15.500	(29-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months	18.900	(26-Jul-11)	11.060	(29-Nov-10)
Volume 12 Months	37,828	(16-May-11)	34	(27-Dec-10)

Stock Performance Chart for Petronas Dagangan Berhad

23.11.2011

Price RM 16.36

PE 18.49x

DY 3.97%

Market Cap 16,252.9m

ROE 19.2%

My 18 points guide to Successfully compounding your money in Stocks

Be a good stock picker.
Think as a business owner.
Always look at value rather than the price. Do the homework.
Buy and hold is alright for selected stocks.
Compounding is your friend, get this to work its magic.
Mr. Market is there to be taken advantage of. Do not be the sucker instead. BFS;STS.
Always buy a lot when the price is low.
Never buy when the stock is overpriced.
It is alright to buy when the selected stock is at a fair price.
Phasing in or dollar cost averaging is safe for such stocks during a downtrend, unless the price is still obviously too high.
Do not time the market for such or any stocks.
By keeping to the above strategy, the returns will be delivered through the growth of the company's business.
So, when do you sell the stock? Almost never, as long as the fundamentals remain sound and the future prospects intact.
The downside risk is protected through only buying when the price is low or fairly priced.
Tactical dynamic asset allocation or rebalancing based on valuation can be employed but this sounds easier than is practical, except in extreme market situations.
Sell urgently when the company business fundamental has deteriorated irreversibly.
You may also wish to sell should the growth of the company has obviously slowed and you can reinvest into another company with greater growth potential of similar quality. However, unlike point 16, you can do so leisurely.
In conclusion, a critical key to successful investing is in your stock picking ability.

http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2012/07/my-18-points-guide-to-successfully.html

11 Lessons From Peter Lynch

Peter Lynch taught me:

1. Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.
2. Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
3. Over the short term, there may be no correlation between the success of a company’s operations and the success of its stock. Over the long term, there’s a 100% correlation.
4. Buying stocks without studying the companies is the same as playing poker – and never looking at your cards.
5. Time is on your side when you own shares of superior companies.
6. Owning stock is like having children. Don’t get involved with more than you can handle.
7. When the insiders are buying, it’s a good sign.
8. Unless you’re a short seller, it never pays to be pessimistic.
9. A stock market decline is as predictable as a January blizzard in Colorado. If you’re prepared, it can’t hurt you.
10. Everyone has the brainpower to make money in stocks. Not everyone has the stomach.
11. Nobody can predict interest rates, the future direction of the economy, or the stock market. Dismiss all such forecasts and concentrate on what’s actually happening to the companies in which you’ve invested.

Lynch’s advice had a profound effect on my stock market approach. He taught me that investment success isn’t the result of developing the right macro-economic view or deciding when to jump in or out of the market. Success is about researching companies to identify those that are likely to report positive surprises.

Capital Expenditure

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 25%. Less is better.

Capital Expenditures are expenses on:
- fixed assets such as equipment, property, or industrial buildings
- fixing problems with an asset
- preparing an asset to be used in business
- restoring property
- starting new businesses

A good company will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 50%.

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of less than 25%.

Less is better.

Benjamin Graham's 113 Wise Words

The true investor scarcely ever is forced to sell his shares, and at all times he is free to disregard the current price quotation. He need pay attention to it and act upon it only to the extent that it suits his book, and no more. Thus the investor who permits himself to be stampeded or unduly worried by unjustified market declines in his holdings is perversely transforming his basic advantage into a basic disadvantage. That man would be better off if his stocks had no market quotation at all, for he would then be spared the mental anguish caused him by other persons' mistakes of judgement."

Philip Fisher's Wise Words

"The refusal to sell at a loss, while completely natural and normal, is probably one of the most dangerous in which we can indulge ourselves in the entire investment process.

More money has probably been lost by investors holding a stock they really did not want until they could 'at least come out even' than from any other single reason. If to these actual losses are added the profits that might have been made through the proper reinvestment of these funds if such reinvestment had been made when the mistake was first realized, the cost of self-indulgence becomes truly tremendous."

(Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits)

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Here is the overriding primary test, followed by observations on why it is so critically important:

Knowing all that you now know and expect about the company and its stock (not what you originally believed or hoped at time of purchase), and assuming that you had available capital, and assuming that it would not cause a portfolio imbalance to do so, would you buy this stock today, at today's price?

No equivocation. Yes or no?

Answers such as maybe or probably are not acceptable since they are ways of dodging the issue. No investor probably buys a stock; they either place an order or do not.

Here is the implication of your answer to that critical test: if you did not answer with a clear affirmative, you should sell; only if you said a strong yes, are you justified to hold.

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Ideally a stock you plan to purchase should have all of the following charateristics:

• A rising trend of earnings dividends and book value per share.
• A balance sheet with less debt than other companies in its particular industry.
• A P/E ratio no higher than average.
• A dividend yield that suits your particular needs.
• A below-average dividend pay-out ratio.
• A history of earnings and dividends not pockmarked by erratic ups and downs.
• Companies whose ROE is 15 or better.
• A ratio of price to cash flow (P/CF) that is not too high when compared to other stocks in the same industry.

Margin of Safety Concept: Stocks should be bought like groceries, not like perfume

The high CAGR in the early years of the investing period, due to buying at a discount, tended to decline and approach that of the intrinsic EPS GR of the companies over a longer investment time-frame.

Chapter 20 - “Margin of Safety” as the Central Concept of Investment

A single quote by Graham on page 516 struck me:

Observation over many years has taught us that the chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of favorable business conditions.

Basically, Graham is saying that most stock investors lose money because they invest in companies that seem good at a particular point in time, but are lacking the fundamentals of a long-lasting stable company.

This seems obvious on the surface, but it’s actually a great argument for thinking more carefully about your individual stock investments. If most of your losses come from buying companies that seem healthy but really aren’t, isn’t that a profound argument for carefully studying any company you might invest in?

myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Sunday 27 November 2011

Coastal Contracts Berhad

Market Watch

Petronas Dagangan

Market Watch

All equity security investments present a risk of loss of capital

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Benjamin Graham

Sell the losers, let the winners run.

Investment Style

Warren Buffett

Political and Economic News

Interesting Blogs