myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.

Monday 28 November 2011

Maybulk

Company Name	:	MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD
Stock Name	:	MAYBULK
Date Announced	:	23/11/2011

Financial Year End	:	31/12/2011
Quarter	:	3
Quarterly report for the financial period ended	:	30/09/2011
The figures	:	have not been audited

Converted attachment :

Please attach the full Quarterly Report here:

MBC 300911 Q3FY11.pdf


Currency	:	Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30/09/2011

		INDIVIDUAL PERIOD		CUMULATIVE PERIOD
		CURRENT YEAR QUARTER	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING QUARTER	CURRENT YEAR TO DATE	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING PERIOD
		30/09/2011	30/09/2010	30/09/2011	30/09/2010
		$$'000	$$'000	$$'000	$$'000
1	Revenue	44,379	109,027	198,946	319,525
2	Profit/(loss) before tax	1,060	88,069	77,560	174,914
3	Profit/(loss) for the period	921	88,122	76,567	173,961
4	Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent	371	87,745	74,916	170,666
5	Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)	0.04	8.77	7.49	17.07
6	Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

		AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER		AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7	Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)	1.6323		1.6858

9 Month cumulative quarters ending 30-9-2011

Income statement

Revenue 198.946m

Profit from operations 56.214m

PBT 77.560m

PAT 76.567m

Finance costs (1.390m)

Income tax expense (0.993m)

Profit attributable to equity holders 74.916m

EPS attributable to equity holders
Basic 7.49 sen.

Balance Sheet

NCA 535.254m
CA 404.998m
TOTAL ASSETS 1,865.137m

TOTAL EQUITY 1,685.130m
NCL 72.009m
CL 107.998m
TOTAL LIABILITIES 180,007m
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 1,865.137m

Net assets per share 1.6323 sen

Asset
Associate 747.920m

Consumable stores 9.213m
Trade receivables 22.745m
Other payables 65.036m

Investments 117.708m

Short term deposits 142.870m
Cash and bank balances 102.305m
LT bank and other borrowings 72.009m
ST bank and other borrowings 42.476m

Dividends paid
30.9.2011 100m
30.9.2010 150m

Cash flow statement

PBT 77.580m
Operating profit before working capital changes 90.473m
Cash generated from operating activities after working capital changes 58.784m

Net cash generated from operating activities 57.582m
Net cash used in investing activities 19.274m
Net cash used in financing activities (139.245m)

Depreciation and amortisation (21.283m)
Unrealised loss on quoted investments (11.962m)
Share of results of associate 13.499m
Share of results of jointly controlled entities 9,237m
Gain on disposal of vessels 4,629m

Proceeds from disposal of vessels 57.492m

Segment Profits

Shipping Bulkers 64.710m
Shipping Tankers (3.069m)
Ship brokerage & management 1.480m
Investment holding & others (7,767m)

Number of ordinary shares in issue 1,000m

Market Watch

Recent Financial Results

Announcement Date	Financial Yr. End	Qtr	Period End	Revenue RM '000	Profit/Lost RM'000	EPS	Amended
23-Nov-11	31-Dec-11	3	30-Sep-11	44,379	921	0.04	-
24-Aug-11	31-Dec-11	2	30-Jun-11	69,653	22,554	2.19	-
25-May-11	31-Dec-11	1	31-Mar-11	84,914	53,092	5.27	-
23-Feb-11	31-Dec-10	4	31-Dec-10	84,725	68,711	6.77	-

ttm-EPS 14.27 sen

Share Price Performance

	High		Low
Prices 1 Month	1.890	(01-Nov-11)	1.550	(28-Nov-11)
Prices 3 Months	1.960	(28-Oct-11)	1.550	(28-Nov-11)
Prices 12 Months	3.000	(08-Dec-10)	1.550	(28-Nov-11)
Volume 12 Months	14,485	(04-Apr-11)	162	(26-Jul-11)

Malaysian Bulk Carriers Bhd Company Snapshot

Business Description:
Malaysian Bulk Carriers Bhd operates in the Deep sea foreign trans. of freight sector. Malaysian Bulk Carriers Berhad is an investment holding company engaged in international shipping. It operates in three segments: Bulk Carriers, Tankers and Ship Management. As of February 28, 2011, the Company's total fleet was 10 owned and five controlled bulk carriers and three owned tankers. Its bulk carriers are involved in the transportation of dry cargoes comprising major bulks, such as iron ore, coal (steaming and coking coals), grains and minor bulks like sugar, coke and fertilizers, among others. Apart from its own vessels, the Company also charters-in third party vessels to service contracts of affreightment commitments. The tankers are engaged primarily in the seaborne transportation of clean petroleum products, chemicals and vegetable oils. Ship management involves marine operations, technical management of vessels, ship supplies and crewing.In August 2011, the Company winded-up its three wholly owned subsidiaries.

Current Price (11/18/2011): 1.74
(Figures in Malaysian Ringgits)

Recent Stock Performance:
1 Week -1.7% 13 Weeks -2.8%

4 Weeks -13.9% 52 Weeks -39.8%

Malaysian Bulk Carriers Bhd Key Data:

2010 Sales 404,250,000
(Year Ending Jan 2011).
Employees: 371
Market Cap: 1,740,000,000
Shares Outstanding: 1,000,000,000
Closely Held Shares: 674,356,950

Stock Performance Chart for Malaysian Bulk Carriers Bhd

Stock Performance Chart for Malaysian Bulk Carriers Bhd

23.11.2011

Price RM 1.66
PE 7.22x
DY 6.02%
Market cap RM 1660.0m

Oriental Holdings Berhad

Company Name	:	ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BERHAD
Stock Name	:	ORIENT
Date Announced	:	18/11/2011

Financial Year End	:	31/12/2011
Quarter	:	3
Quarterly report for the financial period ended	:	30/09/2011
The figures	:	have not been audited

Converted attachment :

Please attach the full Quarterly Report here:

BS.pdf

CF.pdf

PNL.pdf

SCIE.pdf

notes.pdf


Currency	:	Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30/09/2011

		INDIVIDUAL PERIOD		CUMULATIVE PERIOD
		CURRENT YEAR QUARTER	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING QUARTER	CURRENT YEAR TO DATE	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING PERIOD
		30/09/2011	30/09/2010	30/09/2011	30/09/2010
		$$'000	$$'000	$$'000	$$'000
1	Revenue	765,083	802,613	2,413,681	2,385,401
2	Profit/(loss) before tax	61,380	87,249	316,080	206,244
3	Profit/(loss) for the period	42,053	68,719	247,191	161,693
4	Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent	29,390	58,020	179,731	124,847
5	Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)	4.74	9.35	28.97	20.12
6	Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)	0.00	3.00	0.00	3.00

		AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER		AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7	Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)	6.9848		6.6497

9 months cumulative quarters ending 30.9.2011

Income statement

Revenue 2,413.681m

Results from operating activities 301.638m

PBT 316.080m

PAT 247.191m

Finance costs (5.911m)

Profit attributable to Stockholders 179.731m

EPS

Basic 28.97

Weighted average number of stocks of RM 1 each 620.362m

Balance Sheet

NCA 2,485.414m

CA 3,465.106m

TOTAL ASSETS 5,950.520m

TOTAL EQUITY 5,019.115m

NCL 34.923m

CL 896.482m

TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 5950.520m

Net assets per stock (sen) 698.48

Inventories 235.819m

Trade and other receivables 401.423m

Trade and other payables 341.445m

Cash and cash equivalents 2,797.128m

LT borrowings 10.239m

ST borrowings 540.451m

Cash flow statement

PBT 316.080m

Operating profit before working capital changes 313.069m

Cash flow from operating activities after working capital changes 335.457m

Net cash flow from operating activities 279.923m

Net cash flow used in investing activities (99,402m)

Net cash flow from financing activities 4.203m

Capital expenditure (68.140m)

Purchase of investments (38.429m)

Interest received 40.591m

Dividend received 72.011m

Net cash outflow on acquisition of subsidiaries (94.787m)

Dividends paid to stockholders

30.9.2011 (56.052m)

30.9.2010 (38.606m)

Segment Profits

Automotive and related products 16.728m
Plastic products 8.507m
Hotels and resorts 20.329m
Plantation 151.069m
Investment holding and financial services 100.297m
Others including property development 4.708m

Segment Assets

Automotive and related products 2,377.522m
Plastic products 440.66m
Hotels and resorts 641.684m
Plantation 1,127.338m
Investment holding and financial services 666.365m
Others including property development 389.036m

Shareholdings
Weighted average number of stocks in issue 620.362m

Market Watch

Recent Financial Results

Announcement Date	Financial Yr. End	Qtr	Period End	Revenue RM '000	Profit/Lost RM'000	EPS	Amended
18-Nov-11	31-Dec-11	3	30-Sep-11	765,083	42,053	4.74	-
25-Aug-11	31-Dec-11	2	30-Jun-11	850,571	122,725	16.79	-
31-May-11	31-Dec-11	1	31-Mar-11	798,027	82,413	7.45	-
24-Feb-11	31-Dec-10	4	31-Dec-10	840,056	139,135	16.57	-

ttm-EPS 45.55 sen

Price RM 4.31

PE 9.5x

Share Price Performance

	High		Low
Prices 1 Month	4.500	(24-Nov-11)	4.300	(24-Nov-11)
Prices 3 Months	4.800	(26-Aug-11)	4.300	(24-Nov-11)
Prices 12 Months	5.720	(20-Dec-10)	4.300	(24-Nov-11)
Volume 12 Months	21,794	(09-Nov-11)	5	(31-Jan-11)

Oriental Holdings Berhad Company Snapshot
Business Description:
Oriental Holdings Berhad operates in the Motor vehicle parts and accessories sector. Oriental Holdings Berhad (OHB) is engaged in the activities of investment holding; commissioned agent, and provision of management services. OHB operates in six segments: automotive and related products, which acts as a retailer, assembly and distributor of motor vehicles, manufacture of engines, seats and other related parts, as well as traders of spare parts, accessories and related component parts; plastic products, which is engaged in the manufacture, assembly and distribution of plastic component parts and manufacture of plastic technical and industrial goods and equipment; hotels and resorts; investment holding and financial services, which is engaged in investment in shares and bonds, letting of properties and leasing companies; Plantation is engaged in cultivation of oil palm, and Others including property development. On Jan 31, 2011, the Company through its indirect subsidiary, OBS (Singapore) Pte Ltd, acquired 90% interest of PT Gunung Sawit Selatan Lestari (PT GSSL).

Stock Performance Chart for Oriental Holdings Berhad

Stock Performance Chart for Oriental Holdings Berhad

Current Price (11/18/2011): 4.32
Market Cap: 2,679,963,106
Shares Outstanding: 620,361,830
Closely Held Shares: 346,024,583

23.11.2011
Price RM 4.30
PE 8.76x
DY 2.09%
Market cap 2667.7m

My 18 points guide to Successfully compounding your money in Stocks

Be a good stock picker.
Think as a business owner.
Always look at value rather than the price. Do the homework.
Buy and hold is alright for selected stocks.
Compounding is your friend, get this to work its magic.
Mr. Market is there to be taken advantage of. Do not be the sucker instead. BFS;STS.
Always buy a lot when the price is low.
Never buy when the stock is overpriced.
It is alright to buy when the selected stock is at a fair price.
Phasing in or dollar cost averaging is safe for such stocks during a downtrend, unless the price is still obviously too high.
Do not time the market for such or any stocks.
By keeping to the above strategy, the returns will be delivered through the growth of the company's business.
So, when do you sell the stock? Almost never, as long as the fundamentals remain sound and the future prospects intact.
The downside risk is protected through only buying when the price is low or fairly priced.
Tactical dynamic asset allocation or rebalancing based on valuation can be employed but this sounds easier than is practical, except in extreme market situations.
Sell urgently when the company business fundamental has deteriorated irreversibly.
You may also wish to sell should the growth of the company has obviously slowed and you can reinvest into another company with greater growth potential of similar quality. However, unlike point 16, you can do so leisurely.
In conclusion, a critical key to successful investing is in your stock picking ability.

http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2012/07/my-18-points-guide-to-successfully.html

11 Lessons From Peter Lynch

Peter Lynch taught me:

1. Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.
2. Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
3. Over the short term, there may be no correlation between the success of a company’s operations and the success of its stock. Over the long term, there’s a 100% correlation.
4. Buying stocks without studying the companies is the same as playing poker – and never looking at your cards.
5. Time is on your side when you own shares of superior companies.
6. Owning stock is like having children. Don’t get involved with more than you can handle.
7. When the insiders are buying, it’s a good sign.
8. Unless you’re a short seller, it never pays to be pessimistic.
9. A stock market decline is as predictable as a January blizzard in Colorado. If you’re prepared, it can’t hurt you.
10. Everyone has the brainpower to make money in stocks. Not everyone has the stomach.
11. Nobody can predict interest rates, the future direction of the economy, or the stock market. Dismiss all such forecasts and concentrate on what’s actually happening to the companies in which you’ve invested.

Lynch’s advice had a profound effect on my stock market approach. He taught me that investment success isn’t the result of developing the right macro-economic view or deciding when to jump in or out of the market. Success is about researching companies to identify those that are likely to report positive surprises.

Capital Expenditure

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 25%. Less is better.

Capital Expenditures are expenses on:
- fixed assets such as equipment, property, or industrial buildings
- fixing problems with an asset
- preparing an asset to be used in business
- restoring property
- starting new businesses

A good company will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 50%.

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of less than 25%.

Less is better.

Benjamin Graham's 113 Wise Words

The true investor scarcely ever is forced to sell his shares, and at all times he is free to disregard the current price quotation. He need pay attention to it and act upon it only to the extent that it suits his book, and no more. Thus the investor who permits himself to be stampeded or unduly worried by unjustified market declines in his holdings is perversely transforming his basic advantage into a basic disadvantage. That man would be better off if his stocks had no market quotation at all, for he would then be spared the mental anguish caused him by other persons' mistakes of judgement."

Philip Fisher's Wise Words

"The refusal to sell at a loss, while completely natural and normal, is probably one of the most dangerous in which we can indulge ourselves in the entire investment process.

More money has probably been lost by investors holding a stock they really did not want until they could 'at least come out even' than from any other single reason. If to these actual losses are added the profits that might have been made through the proper reinvestment of these funds if such reinvestment had been made when the mistake was first realized, the cost of self-indulgence becomes truly tremendous."

(Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits)

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Here is the overriding primary test, followed by observations on why it is so critically important:

Knowing all that you now know and expect about the company and its stock (not what you originally believed or hoped at time of purchase), and assuming that you had available capital, and assuming that it would not cause a portfolio imbalance to do so, would you buy this stock today, at today's price?

No equivocation. Yes or no?

Answers such as maybe or probably are not acceptable since they are ways of dodging the issue. No investor probably buys a stock; they either place an order or do not.

Here is the implication of your answer to that critical test: if you did not answer with a clear affirmative, you should sell; only if you said a strong yes, are you justified to hold.

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Ideally a stock you plan to purchase should have all of the following charateristics:

• A rising trend of earnings dividends and book value per share.
• A balance sheet with less debt than other companies in its particular industry.
• A P/E ratio no higher than average.
• A dividend yield that suits your particular needs.
• A below-average dividend pay-out ratio.
• A history of earnings and dividends not pockmarked by erratic ups and downs.
• Companies whose ROE is 15 or better.
• A ratio of price to cash flow (P/CF) that is not too high when compared to other stocks in the same industry.

Margin of Safety Concept: Stocks should be bought like groceries, not like perfume

The high CAGR in the early years of the investing period, due to buying at a discount, tended to decline and approach that of the intrinsic EPS GR of the companies over a longer investment time-frame.

Chapter 20 - “Margin of Safety” as the Central Concept of Investment

A single quote by Graham on page 516 struck me:

Observation over many years has taught us that the chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of favorable business conditions.

Basically, Graham is saying that most stock investors lose money because they invest in companies that seem good at a particular point in time, but are lacking the fundamentals of a long-lasting stable company.

This seems obvious on the surface, but it’s actually a great argument for thinking more carefully about your individual stock investments. If most of your losses come from buying companies that seem healthy but really aren’t, isn’t that a profound argument for carefully studying any company you might invest in?

myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Monday 28 November 2011

Maybulk

Market Watch

Oriental Holdings Berhad

Market Watch

All equity security investments present a risk of loss of capital

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Benjamin Graham

Sell the losers, let the winners run.

Investment Style

Warren Buffett

Political and Economic News

Interesting Blogs