Saturday 26 November 2011

How to Cheat at Everything


HOW TO CHEAT AT EVERYTHING



stage magic

Over lunch with Simon Lovell, a fascinating former card shark, Allison Schrager learns all sorts of things about how swindlers operate ...

Special to MORE INTELLIGENT LIFE
"I can spot someone's weakness a mile away. In any room I can pick out the best target," says Simon Lovell, reformed con artist and famed magician, when asked over lunch about the root of his talents.
"Take that woman over there." He motions across the room towards a lady speaking to a man engrossed in his menu--"vulnerable, needy, looking for attention from the man she is with, but he won't give it to her. She even lacks the social skills to get the waiter's attention."
"Or that man over there, over-dressed, too neat, over-confident, thinks he is too smart to be taken." He says, pointing to a middle aged man in a neat suit, with excellent posture.
"But ultimately, anyone can be conned, if you have the balls to do it."
Simon Lovell should know. He spent many years pulling cons, indulging in everything from swift bar games to more elaborate schemes. A fascination with magic as a child eventually led Mr Lovell to hone his skills as a sleight-of-hand expert, and then as a professional card cheat.
Presently, instead of subjecting people to cons, Mr Lovell stars in a one-man off-Broadway show, "Strange and Unusual Hobbies". The performance consists of a mix of comedy, anecdotes from his card-shark days and elaborate card tricks (I once saw him pull a missing card from his mouth). He's vaguely English, 50-ish, handsome (in an ageing Peter O' Toole way), and very slight--the result of a balanced diet of beer and cigarettes. With his young, blonde girlfriend in tow, he explains what it takes to be a successful con artist.
"I could sell shit at an anti-scat party," he says, "you have to figure out someone's wants and needs and convince them what you have will fill their emotional void." A con man is essentially a salesman--a remarkably good one--who excels at making people feel special and understood. A con man validates the victim's desire to believe he has an edge on other people.
It requires avid study of psychology and body language. It's an amazing paradox--a con man has incredible emotional insight, but without the burden of compassion. He must take an intense interest in other people, complete strangers, and work to understand them, yet remain detached and uninvested. That the plan is to cheat these people and ultimately confirm many of their fears cannot be of concern.
Mr Lovell draws people in by mirroring their body language. He breaks their defences by entering their physical space.

* * * * *

Con men tend to be excellent conversationalists. "Many men kissed the Blarney Stone," Mr Lovell likes to say, "a con man has swallowed it." A con man puts a victim at ease by telling a story that reveals his own rather similar anxieties, thereby forging a "mutual understanding" of sorts.
"Now you can prey on their emotions and do evil--because con men are evil, undeniably so," Mr Lovell says. He smirks, admitting pride in past cons.
Just then we are interrupted by our waiter. Mr Lovell notes his British accent, immediately parroting it. The waiter, it turns out, is from north-west London, and the conversation turns to a lively discussion of Watford football.
Once the waiter is out of sight, Mr Lovell explains: "You must have an encyclopaedic knowledge of odd bits of trivia and use these facts to win people over. "
A favourite con of Mr Lovell's is called the Cross. It is a fairly complex card trick that takes place over two or three days. "Go to a bar late at night to look for your victim," he explains. "Pick someone well-groomed, maybe a little dishevelled, but well-dressed. Someone who clearly has some money, but has something on his mind. He is vulnerable. Sit down next to him, have a few drinks, start to mirror his body language, get him talking."
pokerAs the conversation progresses, Mr Lovell will start showing the man some card tricks. "They must be really good and impressive ones," Mr Lovell warns. "After all, you have to know what you are doing."
At this point in the game he reveals that he is, in fact, a professional card cheat. A smart man will run in the other direction, but most are seduced. People love the idea of a professional swindler--they find it glamorous. They figure the world is full of suckers, but of course they are not among them. They are in on the game.
He then unloads his problems on the guy, perhaps something about a partner getting arrested for a small crime, leaving him without a partner for a big poker game the next day. The victim will then almost invariably offer to help. Mr Lovell will question his toughness, but the man will insist he can handle it. With a touch of hesitation, Mr Lovell will then offer to test the man's skill by taking him to a small game that very night. He will even put up the money.
At the game, Mr Lovell explains, he will tell the victim to go all in when he taps the table. Mr Lovell has allegedly figured out a way to determine the hand of each poker player as he deals the cards. It is a skill he spent years honing, and he displays it proudly in his one man show. (Rumour has it casinos in Las Vegas have banned Mr Lovell.) With this gentle coaching, the victim wins the pot, about $500, and is elated. He's ready for the big game the next day.
That game, of course, is for much more money--a $15,000 buy in--and the man must pay his own way. But you agree to split the pot, and the victim by this point is very excited. He is feeling special; he thinks he's in on it. The game should take place somewhere dark and illicit, maintaining the victim's illusion that he is somewhere exciting and covert. At this point he will probably start mimicking the other players, speaking like them. Non-smokers will start to smoke, feel cool.
During the game, Mr Lovell will give the signal (tap the table). The victim will have a strong hand, but someone else's at the table is better, and he loses. Mr Lovell will then storm out angry, violent even. "You blew it--you should've waited for my signal. I should have never gotten involved with such an amateur!"
The next day Mr Lovell will apologise for losing his temper. He might even invite him to another game that night. It bears noting that the money the victim earned the first night was counterfeit and everyone at both poker games is in on the con.

* * * * *

Back at lunch, our waiter returns with a complimentary round of drinks and free desserts, beaming.
At some point, Mr Lovell realised he could no longer be an effective con artist. Perhaps he pulled one Cross too many. Once, when he visited a victim the day after to "apologise", he found the man crying about his mortgage, wife and kids. Mr Lovell actually felt sorry for him. Sorry enough to return some of the money: "Not all of it. I am not an idiot. But some."
This seemed to foretell the end of something. "If you feel sorry you are dead in the water," he warns.
He stopped earning his living as a card cheat about 20 years ago, using his skills to entertain and educate the masses (and turn a buck or two) instead. He also authored a book: "How to Cheat at Everything: A Con Man Reveals the Secrets of the Esoteric Trade of Cheating, Scams, and Hustles", which documents the scams pulled by him and his friends. I gleaned enough tips from my own copy to score a free round of drinks on my own, though Mr Lovell claims he wrote it to make people more aware of tricks.
A conversation with a con man can't help but be confusing. Separating truth from fiction feels futile. Yet Mr Lovell is genuinely charming, and I admire the interest he takes in others. His flawless ability to please people--I've witnessed others grow noticeably more comfortable, even happy, in his company--has inspired me to become more thoughtful and considerate of the needs and desires of others. And I have since found that this is also an effective way of getting what I want from people.
But I would make a poor con artist. Not only am I unable to divorce myself completely from feelings of compassion, but also it is thoroughly exhausting to be deeply aware of everyone's emotions at all times. Like most people, I am far too self-involved to make it as a cheat.
Photo credit: Theresa Hong (above); Boa-sorte&Careca/flickr
(Allison Schrager is an economist based in New York. Her last column, called "Does one Abused Woman = 100 Abused Puppies?" was about the fundraising challenges faced by charities dedicated to helping battered women.)


Some light reading for the holidays.  :-)

Friday 25 November 2011

Maybank


Market Watch


Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
14-Nov-1131-Dec-11Other30-Sep-116,074,3461,305,86117.20-
22-Aug-1130-Jun-11430-Jun-115,720,9991,253,22215.54-
12-May-1130-Jun-11331-Mar-115,128,0821,186,26215.60-
21-Feb-1130-Jun-11231-Dec-105,188,6391,126,63415.72-






Share Price Performance
   High
 
Low
Prices 1 Month
8.520
  (16-Nov-11)
8.060
  (10-Nov-11)
 Prices 3 Months9.000  (02-Sep-11)7.350  (26-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months9.260  (08-Apr-11)7.350  (26-Sep-11)
Volume 12 Months292,339  (05-Jan-11)21,663  (25-May-11)

Fraser & Neave


Market Watch




Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
04-Nov-1130-Sep-11430-Sep-11995,46266,20718.44-
05-Aug-1130-Sep-11330-Jun-11882,47577,85121.70-
05-May-1130-Sep-11231-Mar-111,009,468131,98836.80-
07-Feb-1130-Sep-11131-Dec-101,028,026107,0840.30-





Share Price Performance
   High
Low
Prices 1 Month
17.700
  (24-Nov-11)
16.420
  (28-Oct-11)
Prices 3 Months17.700  (24-Nov-11)15.860  (26-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months19.800  (09-May-11)14.800  (23-Dec-10)
Volume 12 Months14,195  (28-Feb-11)43  (14-Mar-11)

Hong Leong Bank


Market Watch


Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
26-Aug-1130-Jun-11430-Jun-11820,792296,60020.42-
10-May-1130-Jun-11331-Mar-11577,914289,69619.95-
23-Feb-1130-Jun-11231-Dec-10603,964291,43220.07-
16-Nov-1030-Jun-11130-Sep-10539,787257,20017.72-

ttm-EPS 78.16 sen
Price $ 10.2
Trailing PE 13x




Share Price Performance
   High
 
Low
Prices 1 Month
10.840
  (14-Nov-11)
10.160
  (24-Nov-11)
 Prices 3 Months12.920  (26-Aug-11)9.450  (23-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months13.800  (11-Jul-11)9.030  (24-Nov-10)
Volume 12 Months41,356  (27-Oct-11)695  (13-Dec-10)

Public Bank Berhad PBB


Market Watch


Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
17-Oct-1131-Dec-11330-Sep-113,272,466907,89725.66-
25-Jul-1131-Dec-11230-Jun-113,170,654891,44425.14-
18-Apr-1131-Dec-11131-Mar-112,991,607838,62923.63Amended
25-Jan-1131-Dec-10431-Dec-102,971,194860,09524.16-

ttm-EPS 98.59 sen
Price $ 12.40
Trailing PE 12.6x





Share Price Performance
   High
 
Low
Prices 1 Month
12.800
  (31-Oct-11)
12.300
  (23-Nov-11)
 Prices 3 Months13.280  (02-Sep-11)11.680  (26-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months13.600  (06-Jan-11)11.680  (26-Sep-11)
Volume 12 Months129,744  (04-Jan-11)1,345  (22-Apr-11)

LPI


Market Watch


Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
06-Oct-1131-Dec-11330-Sep-11236,38545,11620.48-
07-Jul-1131-Dec-11230-Jun-11213,88931,41814.26-
07-Apr-1131-Dec-11131-Mar-11213,41238,62617.54-
11-Jan-1131-Dec-10431-Dec-10190,74536,93716.77-

ttm-EPS 69.05 sen
Price $ 12.68
Trailing PE 18.4x





Share Price Performance
   High
 
Low
Prices 1 Month
13.220
  (31-Oct-11)
12.660
  (24-Nov-11)
 Prices 3 Months13.220  (31-Oct-11)11.420  (26-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months14.220  (06-Jan-11)11.420  (26-Sep-11)
Volume 12 Months4,198  (26-Jan-11)1  (01-Jun-11)

ESSO


Market Watch


Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
23-Nov-1131-Dec-11330-Sep-112,848,360-37,863-14.00-
16-Aug-1131-Dec-11230-Jun-113,063,1471,8180.70-
16-May-1131-Dec-11131-Mar-112,604,774154,82157.30-
25-Feb-1131-Dec-10431-Dec-102,359,536121,51545.00-





Share Price Performance
   High
 
Low
Prices 1 Month
3.780
  (31-Oct-11)
3.400
  (24-Nov-11)
 Prices 3 Months4.040  (24-Aug-11)3.310  (29-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months5.970  (25-May-11)2.730  (07-Jan-11)
Volume 12 Months137,632  (18-Aug-11)181  (27-Dec-10)



The earnings of ESSO are very volatile.  Therefore, its cash flows are less predictable and you will need to discount its earnings and free cash flow by a bigger discount factor.

Nestle (Malaysia)


Market Watch


Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
18-Aug-1131-Dec-11230-Jun-111,155,567106,54945.44-
20-Apr-1131-Dec-11131-Mar-111,184,998152,68665.11-
24-Feb-1131-Dec-10431-Dec-10963,89339,25916.74-
28-Oct-1031-Dec-10330-Sep-10991,076113,18748.27-

ttm-EPS  175.56 sen
Price $ 50.60
Trailing PE 28.8 x




Share Price Performance
   High
 
Low
Prices 1 Month
50.800
  (24-Nov-11)
48.620
  (11-Nov-11)
 Prices 3 Months50.800  (24-Nov-11)46.900  (26-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months50.800  (24-Nov-11)42.020  (20-Dec-10)
Volume 12 Months4,769  (30-Jun-11)1  (10-Oct-11)



Comment:  There is a possibility that Nestle maybe re-admitted into the KLCI index component stocks.

Several common manipulative activities of stock market syndicates

Market syndicates have been around for many decades and their stock manipulative activities have been felt in the United States, Singapore, here and every other market around the world. Their objective has always been to push up share prices and then unload the high-priced shares on punters.


There are several common aspects of stock manipulators, brokers said, and these are some of them:


Scenario one: The IPO route

These stock plays are pre-planned even before the shares are listed on Bursa Malaysia. As the major shareholder may be imposed with a moratorium from selling any of their shares, he would park some of his shares under nominees. The shares in the names of nominees would not come under the moratorium.

The major shareholder would then place out a block of the new shares issued under the initial public offering (IPO) to a stock operator. Let's say the operator gets the shares at 50 sen a piece.

On the listing day, the stock operator will whack up the price of the shares to say RM1 and a day or a few days later, start selling the shares. He won't be able to unload all his shares at the top, but could achieve an average price of say, 70 sen.

If the major shareholder and stock operator manage to distribute (the industry term for unload) 30 million shares, they'd get to share a profit of RM6mil.




Scenario two: Sell pricey stocks to fund managers

In this kind of scheme, the syndicate will push up the share price from say, RM1 to RM3. The syndicate will then place out (industry term for selling sizeable blocks of shares) to fund managers. The fund managers would be induced to buy the shares with a commission secretly paid to them by the syndicate. If the commission is say, 20 sen on five million shares, the fund manager gets RM1mil.

Placing out shares to fund managers has the advantage of holding up the share price for a longer period of time. There would be an understanding with the fund manager that he should not immediately sell the shares into the market.

The syndicate would then continue to ramp up the share price. Inevitably, however, the syndicate will sell off his shares and they usually leave in a hurry. The fund incurs a loss but the fund manager has personally profited with the commission.
  



Scenario three: Sell pricey stocks to punters

This is the stock manipulation scheme that punters are familiar with. A syndicate gets a block of shares of say, two million from a major shareholder and churns a daily trading volume of say, five million shares. This is done by buying and selling the same shares over and over again by syndicate members and their nominees.

The churning is done in such a way that the share price goes up every day, irrespective of sentiment on the market.
The trading activity and rising price momentum gets the attention of punters. The more experienced punters usually recognise the share price is being ramped up. Nonetheless, they pile in to make a fast buck, and hopefully get out before the syndicate withdraws support for the share price.

There will be, however, punters who are newer to the game or have more greed and they stay too long in the stock. When the syndicate sells out within a day or two, usually causing the stock to trade limit-down, punters lose their shirt.

The profits of the syndicate are shared with the company's major shareholder. Usually, this involves companies that are loss-making in their business. Ramping becomes the only way the major shareholder can make a profit.


Source:
http://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php/topic,32721.msg646663.html#msg646663

Sharks, syndicates, big bosses, speculators, liars, cheaters or stock market manipulators.

I believe that most of us have heard of stock market operators. They are known by many different names and they are constantly the blame for our financial losses. In some parts of the world, they are known as sharks, syndicates, big bosses, speculators, liars, cheaters or stock market manipulators. Some of us cheer their existence and their operations while some cursed them as if they are the culprits to our financial ruins. Are they our friends or foes? As the famous saying goes, know thy foes and you will have the upper hand in battle. In this post, I will challenge and dare you to swim with the sharks and eat from the crumbs of their feeds and not to be their feed. Here I would like to bring out some of my personal thoughts on this question that most newbie has.

Ok, here is the short answer. Yes, you are right. They existed and their operations are hidden from most people especially the newbie in these financial markets. I believe if we know them and how they operate, we could actually move along with them. In fact, the whole purpose of technical analysis is to determine the balance of demand and supply and the stock market operators are some of the powerful and rich individuals or groups with much buying and selling power. If we are able to track their movement, we will be able to profit from their operations. However, if we are ignorant of their existence, we could be their next meal.


Basic facts of stock market operators are listed below for your reference.


**They work individually or in a group.
**They rely on the market trends to help them in their mission.
**The general publics are their big customers.
**They together work with the public listed company owners or insiders.
**They have a main mission objective to accomplish.
**The bulk of their operation revolved around the accumulation and the distribution of stocks from / to the general publics.
**They are rich and powerful figures but they are also humans that have emotions like all of us.
**They have extensive credit facilities and lower transaction costs than the retail investors.
**They do make mistakes like any one of us. Their mistake costs millions in dollars.
**Market news, stock market analyst, corporate announcements, word of mouth advertising, price bidding and order queues are some of their tricks and tools that they used to achieve their main objective.
**They don’t try to pick the bottom or the top like most retail investors do. Again, some of them try to do this and it costs them much sorrow and dismay.
**They do attempt to manipulate the chart to trick the chartist whether you like it or not.
**They are both the buyer and seller in the queue order at any given time.
**They are not doing charity work. They existed to make your money.


It is important to understand them well as they are big volume buyers and sellers. They can tilt the balance of demand and supply. Understanding the above traits of stock market operators will help to clear some of the myths that we have of them. Remember, they are humans like us. Some of the above points deserved to be elaborated further to bring out the secrets of trading methodologies that we will employ in our technical analysis.

Primary market trends are very important to their success and failures. If they judge wrongly on this, they could go bust easily as the power of leveraging will work against them. Remember this, they cannot fight against the trends and they don’t have the strength to do so. Don’t ever think that they can swim against the tides.

If their mission objective is to acquire stocks, they might push down the prices to cause temporary market panics to squeeze out the stocks out from the speculators and investors and this is especially true in certain countries where short-selling is not allowed. The success of this technique will depends on what sort of people that are holding the stocks. This will get rid of the intraday and short term traders. However, they will try to maintain the prices around a certain range as to keep the sellers motivated. Usually the public listed company owners and insider will work in tandem to collect the shares from the general public. After they exhausted the fearful speculators and investors, they will then turn their eyes to the stronger speculators and investors by pushing up the prices higher to catch their interests.

If their mission is to distribute stocks, they will push up the stock prices to catch the attention of speculators and investors. They will work with market analyst to create beautiful pictures of the company prospects. They will work with the public listed company owners and insiders to create scarcity of stocks. At this moment of time, they will also announce all the good news while pushing up the stock prices. They will queue up as buyers and sellers in the order queue. They will buy their own stocks to create volume to entice the crowd to follow. As they bid up and down the prices, stocks were distributed without the awareness of the general public.

I believe that this write-up will increase our trading knowledge and make us a wiser trader. I will continue to write of how we can profit from their operation in future posts whenever I managed to get my time organized.

Source:
http://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php/topic,32721.msg646677.html#msg646677