Tuesday 5 June 2012

The Reasons You Should Invest in Quality Growth Companies for the Long Term

The reasons you should review your philosophy and strategy in stock investing:

1.  You can create wealth only by adding value to resources or by providing a service of value.
2.  Only investments in active businesses are capable of adding value.
3.  Owning a business, though very rewarding, is expensive and risky; but owning shares in a variety of successful businesses eliminates most of the risk while retaining most of the reward.
4.  Buying the stock of quality growth companies and holding it for the long term provides substantial, predictable returns.
5.  Short term trading (BFS/STS) is unpredictable and stacks the odds against you, because it relies upon winning at some loser's expense and because there's no assurance that you won't be the loser.
6.  The benefits of long-term investing include carefree portfolio maintenance, the potential to double your money every five years, the deferment of taxes, and the fact that there are rarely any losers.



Let's review the simple mathematics that makes this method work:

1.  Assume that 15 times earnings is a fair multiple for a good company and that the company earned a dollar per share last year.
2.  You will therefore pay $15 for the stock.
3.  In five years, the earnings will have grown to $2 per share.
4.  At 15 times earnings, the price will then be $30.

The value of your investment will have doubled - in five years!


Hopefully you're satisfied with the logic behind this investing approach and can see its advantages.  

Let's dispel any doubts you might have about whether you can be successful.



The best way to minimize the risk is to invest in good quality companies for the long-term, expecting not to make a killing but to earn as much as good quality companies are capable of earning for their shareholders.




Focus on Investing in Growth Companies for the Long Term

Since the early 1940s, when World War II brought the Depression to an end, there has never been a long-term catastrophe in the stock market.  Even in the worst of times, good companies continue to earn, and many stocks buck the trend.  To be sure, some of the weaker companies with poor management fold, but the well-managed, strong companies quickly scoop up their market share and life goes on.

Focus on investing in growth companies for the long term and , if the time arises when you need to take cash out of your account, sell off portions of your losers - the ones whose sales and profit growth is sluggish, not necessarily the ones whose prices are down.

This will assure you that when the market comes back up, which it surely will, you'll have a portfolio of winners.  Have faith that the companies you own a piece of will perform well in the long term and so, therefore, will your investments.  (And gloat as you continue to rack up 15-percent years while your contemporaries are pulling down 6 percent and paying the taxes on it every month.)

Monday 4 June 2012

Spain is in 'total emergency’, the EU in total denial



After a Spanish exit from the euro, there would be nothing left to exit from.

Greece on brink of collapse - Spain is in 'total emergency’, the EU in total denial
Greece in turmoil: but its significance has shrinked in comparison to the possibility of a spectacular crash in Spain, the fourth largest economy in the EU Photo: AFP/GETTY
I’ve never actually heard the term “total emergency” before, at least not in the context of global economics. It sounds like the title of a disaster movie. When it is uttered in sober tones by the elder statesman of an advanced democracy to describe his country’s financial condition, the effect is rather startling.
The man who delivered this apocalyptic judgment, former Spanish prime minister Felipe González, being a socialist, might be expected to detest austerity programmes that require cuts to government spending. But there seemed to be few disinterested observers of Spain’s economy prepared to quibble with his assessment.
Forget Grexit. Greece’s teeny, tiny economy is a footnote now. As is Ireland’s decision – which seemed more like a sigh of resignation than a plebiscite – to engage in however much self-flagellation the EU gods insist on, for however long it takes. What might have seemed dramatic a week or so ago has now shrivelled in importance by comparison to the realistic possibility of a spectacular crash in the fourth largest economy in the EU. Spexit (and Spanic) are lodged in the lexicon, and have become part of the psychological reality that moves markets. The equivalent of more than £55 billion was withdrawn and transported out of Spain last month – and that was before the country’s largest bank was nationalised. No one seems to be kidding himself that the collapse of the Spanish economy could be somehow weathered and overcome, as the default of Greece might be.

Read more here:

Boustead's 421,460 shares crossed 15% below Friday close


KUALA LUMPUR: Boustead Holdings Bhd's 421,460 shares were transacted in an off-market deal on Monday at RM4.35.

Stock market data showed at RM4.35, this was 15% or 77 sen below last Friday's closing price of RM5.12
At 3.41pm, its share price was down nine sen to RM5.03 in regular trade.
Boustead's paid-up is 1.034 billion shares.

The week that Europe stopped pretending


The euro has essentially broken down as a viable economic and political undertaking. The latest rush of events reeks of impending denouement.

A one euro coin is melted with a welding torch in this photo illustration
The debt markets are pricing in for a global deflationary bust. Europe will have to restore shattered trust in the worst possible circumstances Photo: Reuters
Switzerland is threatening capital controls to repel bank flight from Euroland. The Swiss two-year note has fallen to -0.32pc, not that it seems to make any difference.
Denmark’s central bank said it was battening down the hatches for a "splintering" of EMU. It has cut interest rates twice in a matter or days and pledged to do whatever it takes to stop euros flooding into the country. Contingency plans are on the lips of officials in every capital in Europe, and beyond.
On a single day, the European Commission said monetary union was in danger of "disintegration" and the European Central Bank said it was "unsustainable" as constructed. Their plaintive cries may have fallen on deaf ears in Berlin, but they were heard all too clearly by investors across the world.
Joschka Fischer, Germany’s former vice-Chancellor, said EU leaders have two weeks left to save the project.
"Europe continues to try to quench the fire with gasoline – German-enforced austerity. In a mere three years, the eurozone’s financial crisis has become an existential crisis for Europe."
"Let’s not delude ourselves: If the euro falls apart, so will the European Union, triggering a global economic crisis on a scale that most people alive today have never experienced," he said.
Mr Fischer has the matter backwards. The euro itself is the chief cause of the existential crisis he discerns. Yet he is right that three precious year have been squandered, and that Europe‘s policy mix has been atrociously misguided. The pace of fiscal tightening has been too extreme, made much worse by the ECB’s monetary tightening last year. This inflicted a double-barrelled shock on Southern Europe. The whole region was forced back into slump before it had reached "escape velocity".
The window of opportunity offered by US recovery is slamming shut again. America’s dire jobs data for May - and the downward revision for April - confirm the fears of cycle specialists that the US economy has slipped below stall speed. America risks tanking back into recession as the "fiscal cliff" approaches late this year, unless the Fed comes to the rescue again soon.
Brazil wilted in the first quarter. India grew at the slowest pace in nine years. China’s HSBC manufacturing index fell further into contraction in May, with new orders dropping sharply and inventories rising.
We face the grim possibility that all key engines of the global system will sputter together, this time with interest rates already near zero in the West and average public debt in the OECD club already at a record 106pc of GDP.
"The world’s largest emerging economies are no longer in a position to carry the global economy through tough times, as they did during the 'recovery' years of 2009-2011," said China expert Andy Xie.
The warnings from the bond markets could hardly be clearer. German 10-year Bund yields closed at 1.17pc. The two-year notes turned negative. British Gilts closed at 1.53pc, the lowest in 300 years. US Treasuries fell to 1.45pc, lower than at any time during the Great Depression.
The debt markets are pricing in for a global deflationary bust. Europe will have to restore shattered trust in the worst possible circumstances.
If deposit flight from Spain was €66bn in March before the Greek election tore away the pretence that Europe had solved anything, one dreads to think what it will be in April and May when the data come out.
Alberto Gallo from RBS says Spain will need an EU rescue package of €370bn to €450bn to bail out its crippled property lenders and limp through to 2014, pushing public debt to 110pc of GDP.
This would be the biggest loan package in history by a huge margin. Whether the EU bail-out fund could raise the money on the global markets at viable cost is an open question.
Spanish premier Mariano Rajoy vowed in any case last week that there would no such rescue. It is not a vow he can break quickly or easily, whatever dissidents in his party may want.
Mr Rajoy is gambling that Germany will blink first, letting the ECB intervene in the bond markets to cap Spanish yields.
Europe’s officials seem to think Spain can be pushed into a bail-out - as Ireland and Portugal were pushed - but it is far from clear that Mr Rajoy will accept the long agony of debt-deflation, or take lessons from Brussels.
Heretical thoughts are gaining traction. El Confidencial suggested that Spain should engage in "blackmail" against the EU ("chantaje" in Spanish). "Rajoy has a card up his sleeve: leaving the euro. It is not the best option, and fundamentally it is not what most people want. But the time has come to make Brussels a poisonous proposal: "we have already done everything we possibly can, and if you won’t help us, we will leave," it said.
Mr Rajoy has not yet reached such a desperate point, yet his language over the weekend has an ambiguous feel. "We must ensure that the euro remains the currency of our countries," he told Catalan business leaders.
A group of leading professors wrote a joint appeal in Expansion, exhorting the Spanish nation to muffle their ears and resist the "siren song" of those arguing - and gaining ground - that liberation lies at hand with an "Argentine" dash for the peseta and economic sovereignty. It has come to this.
Italy is scarcely more predictable. Ex-premier Silvio Berlusconi offered us his cunningly pitched "mad idea" on Friday. If the ECB refuses to act as a lender of last resort, Italy should take matters into its own hands. "We should use our own mint to print euros," he said. It is a thinly veiled threat.
"People are in shock. Confidence has collapsed. We have never had such a dark future," he said. Indeed, the jobless rate for youth has jumped from 27pc to 35pc in a year. Terrorism has returned. Anarchists knee-capped the head of Ansaldo Nucleare last month. Italy’s tax office chief was nearly blinded by a letter bomb.
"If Europe refuses to listen to our demands, we should say 'bye, bye’ and leave the euro. Or tell the Germans to leave the euro if they are not happy," he said.
Mr Berlusconi is no longer prime minister. But he still controls the biggest bloc of seats in the Italian parliament and can bring the technocrat government of Mario Monti to its knees at any time.
His point is entirely valid in any case. The ECB’s failure to ensure financial stability - the primary task of any central bank - is shockingly irresponsible. It is this that has driven his country into a liquidity crisis. What did Italy do wrong to justify a surge in bond spreads to a record 464 basis points last week? It is close to primary budget surplus, and has been for five years.
Germany can break the logjam at any time by agreeing to fiscal union, debt-pooling and full mobilization of the ECB, with all that this implies for its democracy. The answer from Chancellor Angela Merkel over the weekend was "under no circumstances". In that case, prepare for the consequences.


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/9309669/The-week-that-Europe-stopped-pretending.html

Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices.

If I can’t convince you that a market downturn is no reason to panic, maybe the world’s greatest investor can. In his 1997 letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Warren Buffett wrote:

A short quiz: If you plan to eat hamburgers throughout your life and are not a cattle producer, should you wish for higher or lower prices for beef? Likewise, if you are going to buy a car from time to time but are not an auto manufacturer, should you prefer higher or lower car prices? These questions, of course, answer themselves.


But now for the final exam: If you expect to be a net saver during the next five years, should you hope for a higher or lower stock market during that period? Many investors get this one wrong. Even though they are going to be net buyers of stocks for many years to come, they are elated when stock prices rise and depressed when they fall. In effect, they rejoice because prices have risen for the “hamburgers” they will soon be buying. This reaction makes no sense. Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices.

The next time the stock market takes a tumble, remember Buffett’s advice. And then go out and buy yourself some hamburgers!

Thursday 31 May 2012

Coastal


Nestle


Nestle
Announcement Qtr EPS ttm-EPS Price
Date No (Cents) (Cent) (RM) PE DY P/NTA








25/04/2012 1 67.41 196.89 55.86 28.4 3.2% 15.65
23/02/2012 4 37.13 194.59 55.80 28.7 3.2% 20.44
11/04/2011 3 46.91 174.20 50.00 28.7 3.3% 17.06
18/08/2011 2 45.44 175.56 47.90 27.3 3.4% 18.57
20/04/2011 1 65.11 172.83 48.00 27.8 3.4% 14.63
24/02/2011 4 16.74 166.91 45.30 27.1 6.1% 17.29
28/10/2010 3 48.27 186.94 43.40 23.2 3.5% 14.76
26/08/2010 2 42.71 172.68 42.00 24.3 3.6% 17.00
21/04/2010 1 59.19 166.41 34.30 20.6 4.4% 11.32
25/02/2010 4 36.77 150.01 34.14 22.8 6.6% 14.11
29/10/2009 3 34.01 146.19 33.18 22.7 5.8% 13.01
27/08/2009 2 36.44 149.51 34.50 23.1 5.5% 15.75
15/04/2009 1 42.79 147.92 30.00 20.3 6.4% 11.41
26/02/2009 4 32.95 145.36 29.50 20.3 9.4% 13.41
30/10/2008 3 37.33 126.84 27.50 21.7 4.1% 14.40
08/07/2008 2 34.85 138.96 27.25 19.6 4.2% 13.16
23/04/2008 1 40.23 134.99 29.50 21.9 3.9% 9.49





Nestle
Announcement Revenue PBT Net Profit EPS Dividend NTA Qtr
Date (RM,000) (RM,000) (RM,000) (Cent) (Cent) (RM) No








25/04/2012 1164128 206827 158080 67.41 0 3.57 1
23/02/2012 1188961 101847 87066 37.13 125 2.73 4
11/04/2011 1171468 138080 110000 46.91 0 2.93 3
18/08/2011 1155567 127775 106549 45.44 55 2.58 2
20/04/2011 1184998 191107 152686 65.11 0 3.28 1
24/02/2011 963893 45004 39259 16.74 115 2.62 4
28/10/2010 991076 132652 113187 48.27 0 2.94 3
26/08/2010 1050863 117470 100153 42.71 50 2.47 2
21/04/2010 1020487 170617 138798 59.19 0 3.03 1
25/02/2010 950632 99175 86224 36.77 100 2.42 4
29/10/2009 886812 106411 79760 34.01 0 2.55 3
27/08/2009 922857 104271 85455 36.44 50 2.19 2
15/04/2009 983932 130404 100354 42.79 0 2.63 1
26/02/2009 972648 104798 77279 32.95 80 2.2 4
30/10/2008 961822 113063 87542 37.33 0 1.91 3
08/07/2008 1014910 98733 81720 34.85 50 2.07 2
23/04/2008 927688 124758 94345 40.23 61.19 3.11 1




Dividend Decision


Dividend Policy - What is it?

Dividend Policy - Don't Piss Off your Shareholders



View more PowerPoint from Amit Dodwani

Dividend Policy

Exploring Financial Education

LPI


LPI
Announcement Revenue PBT Net Profit EPS Dividend NTA Qtr
Date (RM,000) (RM,000) (RM,000) (Cent) (Cent) (RM) No








04/09/2012 246061 37821 31477 14.29 0 5.07 1
01/09/2012 239323 51999 39334 17.85 50 5.36 4
10/06/2011 236385 55948 45116 20.48 0 4.88 3
07/07/2011 213889 41971 31418 14.26 25 5.21 2
04/07/2011 213412 50135 38626 17.54 0 5.015 1
01/11/2011 190745 49135 36937 16.77 45 5.267 4
10/07/2010 216952 47445 36205 16.85 0 4.978 3
07/08/2010 188439 35896 26444 19.21 10 6.831 2
04/08/2010 235071 48831 38322 27.84 0 6.54 1
01/07/2010 154421 46520 34971 25.4 41.25 6.542 4
10/08/2009 206625 42584 32897 23.9 0 5.84 3
07/06/2009 166346 29994 22742 16.52 26.25 5.384 2
04/08/2009 210907 42237 35478 25.77 0 4.701 1
01/08/2009 117130 44517 32690 23.75 55 2.642 4
10/09/2008 191728 35379 26236 19.06 0 2.404 3
07/09/2008 144308 24308 17906 13.01 30 2.434 2
04/09/2008 185562 37360 27415 19.91 0 2.292 1



LPI
AnnouncementQtrEPSttm-EPSPrice
DateNo(Cents)(Cent)(RM)PEDYP/NTA








04/09/2012114.2966.8813.9820.95.4%2.76
01/09/2012417.8570.1313.8419.75.4%2.58
10/06/2011320.4869.0511.7817.14.4%2.41
07/07/2011214.2665.4213.8021.13.7%2.65
04/07/2011117.5463.1713.7621.83.7%2.74
01/11/2011416.7763.0313.8021.92.3%2.62
10/07/2010316.8562.1311.2818.23.7%2.27
07/08/2010212.0160.224.567.69.2%1.07
04/08/2010117.4058.545.749.87.4%1.40
01/07/2010415.8857.245.018.74.8%1.22
10/08/2009314.9456.214.878.710.9%1.33
07/06/2009210.3353.194.388.212.1%1.30
04/08/2009116.1150.993.877.613.7%1.32
01/08/2009414.8447.333.497.47.2%2.12
10/09/2008311.9143.933.367.720.4%2.24
07/09/200828.1341.794.2210.116.3%2.77
04/09/2008112.4440.564.6111.414.9%3.22







Genting Malaysia Q1 earnings down 35% to RM270.6m


GENM
Announcement Qtr EPS ttm-EPS Price
Date No (Cents) (Cent) (RM) PE DY P/NTA








30/05/2012 1 4.78 22.62 3.84 17.0 2.2% 1.72
28/02/2012 4 6.17 25.21 3.80 15.1 2.3% 1.80
24/11/2011 3 6.13 25.43 3.86 15.2 2.1% 1.87
25/08/2011 2 5.54 25.22 3.32 13.2 2.4% 1.61
26/05/2011 1 7.37 25.04 3.63 14.5 2.2% 1.76
23/02/2011 4 6.39 22.45 3.42 15.2 0.5% 1.67
25/11/2010 3 5.92 22.35 3.39 15.2 2.2% 1.73
26/08/2010 2 5.36 22.73 2.96 13.0 2.5% 1.67
27/05/2010 1 4.78 23.15 2.70 11.7 2.7% 1.53
25/02/2010 4 6.29 23.18 2.69 11.6 0.6% 1.51
25/11/2009   3 6.30 10.14 2.77 27.3 2.5% 1.61
26/08/2009   2 5.78 9.78 2.71 27.7 2.5% 1.70
27/05/2009   1 4.81 9.52 2.49 26.2 2.8% 1.64
25/02/2009 4 -6.75 9.80 1.84 18.8 0.4% 1.27
26/11/2008 3 5.94 17.81 2.14 12.0 0.6% 1.53
23/08/2007 2 5.52 14.31 2.45 17.1 0.5% 1.93
28/05/2008 1 5.09 9.90 2.59 26.2 0.5% 1.89

























GENM
Announcement Revenue PBT Net Profit EPS Dividend NTA Qtr
Date (RM,000) (RM,000) (RM,000) (Cent) (Cent) (RM) No








30/05/2012 1903801 378541 270664 4.78 0 2.23 1
28/02/2012 2331245 453734 349281 6.17 4.8 2.11 4
24/11/2011 2315836 463084 347145 6.13 0 2.06 3
25/08/2011 1896025 430342 313753 5.54 3.8 2.06 2
26/05/2011 1950580 553488 417698 7.37 0 2.06 1
23/02/2011 1558525 503218 362125 6.39 4.4 2.05 4
25/11/2010 1202916 416262 336417 5.92 0 1.96 3
26/08/2010 1226492 414130 305690 5.36 3.6 1.77 2
27/05/2010 1345170 397842 272364 4.78 0 1.77 1
25/02/2010 1275555 469385 358320 6.29 4.3 1.78 4
25/11/2009   1335901 470667 359456 6.3 0 1.72 3
26/08/2009   1202256 438859 330481 5.78 3 1.59 2
27/05/2009   1175383 385682 275444 4.81 0 1.52 1
25/02/2009 1329102 -244496 -387843 -6.75 4 1.45 4




Published: Wednesday May 30, 2012 MYT 7:26:00 PM

Genting Malaysia Q1 earnings down 35% to RM270.6m

It reported on Wednesday profit before taxation fell 32% to RM378.5mil. Revenue fell 2.4% to RM1.903bil from RM1.950bil. Earnings per share were 4.78 sen compared with 7.37 sen.
"This decrease (in pre-tax profit) arose principally due to the lower adjusted EBITDA, higher depreciation and amortisation charges by RM50mil mostly from the group's operations in the US and pre-operating expenses of RM17.7mil incurred in relation to the masterplan development of a destination resort in the City of Miami, Florida, US," it said.
Elaborating on the revenue, it said the Malaysia and UK leisure and hospitality businesses reported RM1.654bil in revenue, or 1% lower on-year due to weaker hold percentage in the premium players business despite an overall higher volume of business.
The revenue from the leisure and hospitality business in the US was RM218.4mil, mainly from the operations of Resorts World Casino New York City (RWNYC) which started in in the fourth quarter of 2011.
Genting Malaysia pointed out there was no construction revenue compared with RM264.6mil a year ago as development of RWNYC was completed.
The group's adjusted EBITDA for Q1, 2012 fell 18% to RM513.1mil from RM625.4mil a year ago.
In Malaysia, the lower adjusted EBITDA was mainly due to higher payroll costs and promotional expenses whilst bad debts written off gave rise to lower contributions from the UK. "Included in adjusted EBITDA for the leisure and hospitality business in US for Q2, 2012 was the construction loss of RM48.2mil (construction profit of RM13.4mil in Q1, 2011). This was incurred due to cost overrun from the development of RWNYC," it said.
Genting Malaysia said if the construction loss of RM48.2mil was excluded, the adjusted EBITDA for leisure and hospitality in US would have been RM49.5mil, mainly from the operations of RWNYC.