BUFFETT’S COMPANY ANALYSIS TEMPLATE.
Below is a Summary of what Warren Buffett targets in a company’s three Financial Statements and his use of his Equity Bond Theory in order to evaluate a company and to determine a preferable purchase price.
In my opinion, one could regard all these requirements as a form of COMPANY ANALYSIS TEMPLATE with which an Industrial type company should comply in order to satisfy Buffett’s Investment Criteria, which should, in turn, lead to a profitable long-term investment.
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INCOME STATEMENT.
GROSS PROFIT :- Gross Profit = Cost of Sales/Revenue >40%
SG&A EXPENSES :- SG&A < 30% x Gross Profit
R&D EXPENSES :- Little or Nil
DEPRECIATION :- Depreciation < 10% x Gross Profit
INTEREST EXPENSE :- Interest Expense < 15% x Operating Income (i.e. EBIT)
PRETAX INCOME :- VERY IMPORTANT NUMBER, especially for previous 12 months
NET EARNINGS :- Net Earnings > 20% x Total Revenue
EARNINGS PER SHARE :- 10 Year Trend showing Consistency & Upward Trend
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BALANCE SHEET.
ASSETS.
CASH & SHORT TERM INVESTMENTS :- Ongoing increase from Business Operations NOT from One-Time events
INVENTORY :- Corresponding Rise in both Inventory & Net Earnings
CURRENT RATIO :- Current Assets/Current Liabilities < 1, due to Strong Earning Power
PROPERTY, PLANT & EQUIPMENT :- Low as possible
LONG TERM INVESTMENTS :- Large as possible. Should be Quality Investments, preferably in other DCA companies
RETURN ON ASSETS (ROA) :- High BUT with Large Total Assets to reduce Vulnerability
LIABILITIES.
SHORT TERM DEBT :- Avoid bigger borrowers of Short Term money rather than Long term money
LONG TERM DEBT DUE :- Little or Nil
LONG TERM DEBT :- Long Term Debt < 3 x Annual Net Earnings
DEBT/SHAREHOLDER’S EQUITY :- Debt/S.H.Equity < 0.8 where S.H.Equity INCLUDES Value of Treasury Stock
PREFERRED STOCK :- Nil RETAINED EARNINGS :- Annual Increase > 7%
TREASURY STOCK :- Should appear and be regularly purchased
RETURN ON SHAREHOLDER’S EQUITY (ROE) :- Net Income/S.H.Equity > 25%
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CASH FLOW STATEMENT.
INVESTING OPERATIONS :- Based on +/-10 Year Period, Capital Expenditure/Net Earnings < 50% For DCA company this ratio is consistently < 25%.
FINANCING ACTIVITIES :- “Issuance (Retirement) of Stock, Net” to be a regular NEGATIVE Value. This indicates a NET Buying Back of its own Shares compared to a NET Issuance of its Shares. _______________________________________________________________
BUFFET’S EQUITY BOND. THE THEORY.
Companies with DURABLE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE (DCA) can be seen as an EQUITY BOND with a COUPON.
Equity Bond = Share Price Bond
Coupon = Pretax Earnings/Share
DETERMINE SHARE PRICE.
Stock Market will price a DCA company’s Equity Bond at a level that approximately reflects the Value of its Earnings RELATIVE to the Yield on LONG TERM CORPORATE BONDS (LTCB)
Equity Bond = Share Price = Coupon Rate/Long Term Corporate Bond Rate (LTCBR)
Coupon Rate/LTCBR = Pretax Earnings/LTCBR
WHEN TO BUY.
(1) Buy during Bear Markets or when share prices are depressed due to no fault of the company
(2) Buy when Share Price < Pretax Earnings per Share/LTCBR by a reasonable discount
WHEN TO SELL.
(1) Sell when presented with a BETTER company at a BETTER Price
(2) Sell when a current DCA company is losing its Durable Competitive Advantage
(3) Sell during Bull Markets or when prices are at unrealistically HIGH levels
(4) Sell when P/E ratios > 40+, especially if the stock’s price far EXCEEDS THE LONG-TERM ECONOMIC REALITIES OF THE BUSINESS
http://siliconinvestor.advfn.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=26423391
Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
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