1. The most important task in buying a stock is to determine that the company is a good company in which to own stock for the long term. (QUALITY)
2. However, no matter how good the company, if the price of its stock is too high, it is not going to be a good investment.
3. A stock price must pass two tests to be considered reasonable:
(i) The hypothetical total return from the investment must be adequate - enough to contribute to a portfolio average of around 15% - sufficient to double its value every 5 years. (REWARD).
(ii) The potential gain should be at least 3x the potential loss. (RISK)
4. To complete these tasks, you have to have learned how to do the following:
(i) Estimate future sales and earnings growth.
(ii) Estimate future earnings.
(iii) Analyze past PEs (Check the current PE with the average past PEs)
(iv) Estimate future PEs.
(v) Forecast the potential high and low prices.
(vi) Calculate the potential return.
(vii) Calculate the potential risk.
(viii) Calculate a fair price.
5. If you take each of these steps in 4(i) to 4(viii), cautiously and shun excesses, your actual results is likely to be as good or better than the forecast at least four out of the five times.
6. And you will have a track record to rival any professional.
That's all folks!
Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
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